Norm Hart

Cautionary Tales of Poor Risk Management 5 – The Downfall of Amaranth Advisors: A Tale of Overexposure

By Norm Hart / 28 Jun 2023

Amaranth Advisors emerged on the financial scene in 2000, an ambitious venture led by seasoned investment manager Nicholas Maounis. Operating from Greenwich, Connecticut, Amaranth quickly rose in prominence thanks to its audacious and dynamic…
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Cautionary Tales of Poor Risk Management 4 – The 2015 Swiss Franc Shock

By Norm Hart / 15 Jun 2023

The Swiss franc, traditionally viewed as a “safe-haven” currency due to its stability and the strength of the Swiss economy, has long played a pivotal role in the global currency markets. Leading up to 2015, the Swiss National Bank (SNB) established a peg with the euro, fixing…
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Cautionary Tales of Poor Risk Management 3: Société Générale

By Norm Hart / 08 Jun 2023

Before we delve into the saga of Jérôme Kerviel, it’s important to understand the institution he was part of – Société Générale. Founded in 1864, Société Générale is one of the oldest banks in France and boasts a storied history.
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Cautionary Tales of Poor Risk Management – No.2 The Demise of Bearings Bank

By Norm Hart / 31 May 2023

Founded in 1762, Barings Bank was not just the oldest merchant bank in London but a beacon of prestige in the international financial sector. Its illustrious history and influential role in shaping global finance resonated across centuries and continents.
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Cautionary Tales of Poor Risk Management – No.1 The Collapse of LTCM

By Norm Hart / 22 May 2023

Long-Term Capital Management (LTCM) was founded in 1994 by John W. Meriwether, the former vice-chairman, and head of bond trading at Salomon Brothers. The hedge fund aimed to take advantage of pricing discrepancies in the bond market using highly sophisticated mathematical models.
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Data Mining Shapes the New Age of Trading

By Norm Hart / 17 May 2023

Data mining, a process that uncovers meaningful patterns and correlations within large databases, has become an indispensable tool in the trading arena. It holds numerous advantages over traditional manual trading, revolutionizing the way traders operate.
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Navigating Market Uncertainties Through Probabilistic Thinking

By Norm Hart / 10 May 2023

Probabilistic thinking is a critical cognitive tool derived from probability science. It is, at its core, a mental framework that allows us to deal with the inherent uncertainties of life…
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The Minimax Mindset for Conquering a Sophisticated Market

By Norm Hart / 05 May 2023

In the highly competitive world of financial markets, traders are continually searching for effective strategies to gain an edge and achieve long-term success.
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Overcoming the Limits of Inductive Reasoning – The acceptance of Antifragility

By Norm Hart / 25 Apr 2023

To reduce the risks associated with inductive reasoning and better navigate the volatile dynamics of financial markets, traders must accept the markets’ inherent uncertainty and use caution when analysing historical patterns and trends
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Beyond Guesswork – Examining the Impact of Inductive Reasoning

By Norm Hart / 20 Apr 2023

Traders and investors often rely on historical patterns and trends to guide their decision-making process in their pursuit of financial success. They hope to predict future market outcomes and capitalise on opportunities by analysing past market behaviour.
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