With further weakening in global economic data this could well point towards an impending recession. The Dollar still looks weak but overall ended the week flat.

Euro and GBP both traded flat on the week. Despite economic releases in the eurozone (CPI in line) and the UK (CPI slightly higher) both pairs remained in a tight range on the week.

Euro initially slipped but found good support around 1.09 and moved back towards the 1.10 level which seems to be offering key resistance.

Looking at the technicals any sustained break above 1.10 could see Euro move to 1.15. GBP had a similar week closing around the mid 1.24, with 1.25 offering significant resistance.

Commodity currencies reversed much of last week’s gains. the AUD and NZD both lost ground and CAD losing 1.4% as oil prices weakened.

Oil lost 6% to close around the $77.90 level as it gave up some of its gains from the OPEC+ announcement.

The week ahead sees interest rate decisions from the BoJ along with Eurozone and US GDP numbers.